The last episode we saw in December, Rick was not in very good shape both physically and emotionally. He is obviously distraught over the death of Hershel and has no idea where Judith is. That could very well have been his breaking point. He has experienced too many deaths of loved ones, I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't come back from this one.
I don't think he is emotionally capable of being the leader of the group anymore. There are several other characters that I think would make great replacements.
Daryl would be a great leader because he is bad ass. He isn't afraid to get down and dirty and knows how fight. He also has a gentle side.
Carl is also a candidate even though he is young he has proven his maturity this season. He has become a good fighter and could definitely follow in his father's foot steps.
Then there are Maggie and Glenn. These two would be great if they led the group together. They understand each other and make a great tag team when if comes to killing zombies.
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